Horsewin Results Sample to January 29 2012

Below is the most recent update and analysis of results for published selections from Horsewin Reports. While the win % are moving closer to the expected norm of 30%, the payoffs are lagging. A flat bet profit is not possible with these results. There are some good returns available on selected races. I estimate the true value on the selections as 3-1 for a top pick (2-1 in a small field), 5-1 for a 2nd pick, 8-1 for 3rd pick and 10-1 for 4th pick. In small fields which are fairly frequent at AQU and SA, rarely are these odds available; however, when there is a larger field, the opportunities to play at value odds are much more frequent.


It is interesting to note that the total win % for the top 4 selections is quite high. Multiple race bets may present the best chance for profits, notwithstanding the higher risk.

				HORSEWIN WEEKEND RESULTS FOR Dec 26 2011- Jan 29 2012
								WIN SUMMARY
Track	Races		TOP	Col 1	ODDS		2ND	2ND	ODDS		3RD	3RD	ODDS		4TH	4TH	ODDS		TOTAL
			Wins	Win %			Wins	Win %			Wins	Win %			Wins	Win %			Win %
AQU	226		78	34.5%	1.6		46	20.4%	3.2		29	12.8%	3.2		25	11.1%	7.3		78.8%
GP	275		68	24.7%	2.2		47	17.1%	3.8		41	14.9%	5.8		25	9.1%	7.1		65.8%
SA	198		55	27.8%	1.9		31	15.7%	2.7		28	14.1%	4.7		17	8.6%	5.9		66.2%
TAM	123		39	31.7%	1.9		27	22.0%	3		13	10.6%	5		8	6.5%	9		70.7%
					PLACE SUMMARY
			TOP		ODDS		2ND		ODDS
			PL				PL
AQU	226		44	19.5%	2.3		38	16.8%	4.2
GP	275		48	17.5%	2.8		38	13.8%	5.3
SA	198		38	19.2%	2.9		38	19.2%	4.3
TAM	123		18	14.6%	2.6		22	17.9%	3.3