Below is the most recent update and analysis of results for published selections from Horsewin Reports. While the win % are moving closer to the expected norm of 30%, the payoffs are lagging. A flat bet profit is not possible with these results. There are some good returns available on selected races. I estimate the true value on the selections as 3-1 for a top pick (2-1 in a small field), 5-1 for a 2nd pick, 8-1 for 3rd pick and 10-1 for 4th pick. In small fields which are fairly frequent at AQU and SA, rarely are these odds available; however, when there is a larger field, the opportunities to play at value odds are much more frequent.
It is interesting to note that the total win % for the top 4 selections is quite high. Multiple race bets may present the best chance for profits, notwithstanding the higher risk.
|HORSEWIN WEEKEND RESULTS FOR Dec 26 2011- Jan 29 2012|
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